Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000173 0.000186 0.000201 0.000218 0.000237 0.000257 0.000280
2024-10-06 0.000151 0.000171 0.000194 0.000221 0.000254 0.000293 0.000341
2024-10-13 0.000140 0.000163 0.000190 0.000225 0.000269 0.000322 0.000394
2024-10-20 0.000128 0.000153 0.000183 0.000222 0.000274 0.000340 0.000432
2024-10-27 0.000123 0.000149 0.000183 0.000228 0.000289 0.000371 0.000491
2024-11-03 0.000113 0.000140 0.000174 0.000222 0.000288 0.000379 0.000519
2024-11-10 0.000106 0.000133 0.000169 0.000219 0.000290 0.000392 0.000554
2024-11-17 0.000100 0.000127 0.000163 0.000214 0.000290 0.000401 0.000583
2024-11-24 0.000096 0.000123 0.000160 0.000215 0.000296 0.000419 0.000629
2024-12-01 0.000092 0.000119 0.000157 0.000214 0.000301 0.000435 0.000673
2024-12-08 0.000089 0.000117 0.000156 0.000216 0.000310 0.000459 0.000734
2024-12-15 0.000085 0.000113 0.000152 0.000213 0.000310 0.000469 0.000769
2024-12-22 0.000082 0.000110 0.000149 0.000212 0.000315 0.000486 0.000823
2024-12-29 0.000079 0.000108 0.000149 0.000215 0.000325 0.000516 0.000906
2025-01-05 0.000078 0.000106 0.000149 0.000218 0.000338 0.000550 0.001005
2025-01-12 0.000074 0.000103 0.000145 0.000216 0.000339 0.000563 0.001060
2025-01-19 0.000073 0.000102 0.000146 0.000221 0.000355 0.000606 0.001190
2025-01-26 0.000070 0.000098 0.000141 0.000215 0.000350 0.000608 0.001224
2025-02-02 0.000067 0.000095 0.000138 0.000212 0.000349 0.000619 0.001282
2025-02-09 0.000064 0.000092 0.000134 0.000208 0.000347 0.000625 0.001330
2025-02-16 0.000063 0.000090 0.000132 0.000208 0.000353 0.000649 0.001427
2025-02-23 0.000061 0.000088 0.000131 0.000208 0.000357 0.000669 0.001521
2025-03-02 0.000060 0.000087 0.000130 0.000210 0.000366 0.000704 0.001661